As the DNC’s presidential candidates headed into the New Hampshire Primaries last night, the disaster of last week’s Iowa Caucuses was likely fresh in everyone’s mind. Resulting from either incompetence, technical issues, or foul play (no one’s entirely sure at this point), the Iowa Caucuses were a mess for the Democrats, and a clear-cut winner has still not officially been determined.
Fortunately for the Dems, things played out very differently in New Hampshire last night.
On Tuesday, Senator Bernie Sanders won the New Hampshire Primary, the traditional first-in-the-nation primary. However, Sanders was favored to win by a much larger margin. The socialist senator narrowly held off South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Senator Amy Klobuchar surged upward in the polls in the preceding days, and a strong debate performance helped her to finish securely third place behind Sanders and Buttigieg.
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren had a horrible night and plummeted to fourth and fifth place respectively. Biden decided to blow the popsicle stand and headed to South Carolina early instead of waiting for the results. Leaving his supporters was a jerk move and showed disrespect for those who worked as volunteers for his New Hampshire campaign, but his frustration is understandable. After spending so long as the frontrunner, Biden has fallen fast and far.
Similarly, Elizabeth Warren was once a top contender, but those days were long ago. She now has been relegated to the back of the Democratic pack with no clear path to the nomination. In a word, she’s become irrelevant.
Additionally, Andrew Yang and Senator Michael Bennet both dropped out of the race last night. Sadly, Americans will not be receiving that $1,000 check from Andrew Yang. Also, raise your hand if you knew Michael Bennet was still in the race. I mean, I follow this stuff for a living and even I had no idea he was still campaigning.
Bernie Sanders has shown that he has a strong base of support that would go to hell and back for him, but the so-called “moderate” lane of the party out-performed him significantly when the votes for Klobuchar and Buttigieg were combined. A moderate in the Democrat Party nowadays is still far Left of center, but least they aren’t a communist like Bernie.
Ironically, Bernie is old as dirt, but he dominates with young voters and performs horribly with people in his age range. Sanders garnered 51% of votes from those under 30 and 42% of those under 45. He received only 17% of those 45 and older and 14% of those over 65.
Senator Amy Klobuchar’s support was the complete opposite of Sanders’. She struggled with the youth vote yet handily won the senior vote. She took home 32% of the votes from those over 65 and 27% of those 45 and older.
Mayor Pete Buttigieg performed strongly amongst all age groups and was well-received by moderates and those who considered themselves “somewhat liberal.”
Voter turnout was low once again, which is a troubling sign for the Democrats’ chances of beating President Trump in November. Democrat voters are staying home because they aren’t enamored with any of the candidates. On the flip side, those who are staying home might be waiting for whoever the nominee is with the intention of voting for that person to beat Trump. Their hatred for Trump might be enough to bring them to the polls in November—that’s an idea that shouldn’t be discounted.
Bernie Sanders has positioned him as the odds-on favorite to win the nomination according to polling site FiveThirtyEight. However, the likelihood of the nominee being chosen at the Democrat Convention in the summer is also rising.
Writing for FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver stated the following: “Sanders’s 38 percent chance of a pledged delegate majority is far better than any other Democrat. He also has a 52 percent chance of a pledged delegate plurality…But New Hampshire is also good news if you’re rooting for chaos. Our forecast has the chance of no pledged delegate majority up to 33 percent, its highest figure yet, and roughly double what it was before Iowa.”
The Democrat circus is going to be entertaining to watch and, as crazy as it is, it’s a welcome relief from the drudgery that was the impeachment inquisition. However, it is also terrifying that the communist-supporting Senator is leading the pack and could be one step close to the White House. That should send a shiver up your spine.
Let’s hope that, as additional primaries are held, the Democratic voters come to their senses.